This is Rovio land. Probability laws do not apply.

Think of common chest math. Gems are always the last item to go, and more often than not, not free.

Loot boxes have been under serious regulatory scrutiny for a reason.

Legenary chests give hats? who would have thought :). I’ve opened 175 LC’s and got 2 hats, seen maybe 3 or 4…

There is a larger philosophical issue here. The disparity between FP and scores. It seems that the better you are, and I mean the guys perpetually at the top of the MEBC, the more points you score – but A LOT more. I’m at 50% of the FP of those players and would not expect to score half their points, but they’re scoring 5x what I do in MEBC and…[Read more]

Does it work just by pulling data from Facebook? or you enter things manually?

the odds are not 1 in 5 for any cards in rare or legendary… click on the (i) button for details.

Once you have one set of +11 or +whatever hats it seems it may be better to buy rainbow feathers, no?

I suspect Rovio must have figured out it’s easy handouts to good clans, so we got the increasingly impossible hat events… Last few I haven’t bothered to do past the first reward.

So far Rovio has had a storied history of releasing bad code – spells counting as 1 instead of actual, infinite spells, chests every 30 hours or whatever, numerous iterations of arena matching failures, and so many more it is difficult to believe they’re actually releasing production software this non-nonchalantly. I’m surprised Stella doesn’t…[Read more]

It’s about as useful as Clan Chests :). Is anyone actually buying one for their clan? Or trying for a new opponent in Arena? I’ve humored it a couple times just for kicks and giggles, nothing of significance. It’s like, an arena match with a LOWER FP’d opponent is nearly always a guarantee that the guy will have a breakout score into the tens of…[Read more]

in light of the MEBC cheating epidemic, I wonder why Rovio spends more time rigging ToF than actually fixing critical issues…

No apples at all for me… Played DC, two gifts, played 2 of 3 sequence of KPP, no apples or gifts, played 5 or 6 map levels (just cleared a boss last night), no apples. Not a ONE.

Conspiracy? maybe I need to practice more :)

What we need is ban by device ID – in a phone that’s easy, they should be able to access IMEI or MAC address, and for tablet, MAC address. Ban by that and you should be good.

Hey Rovio: please forward 1,000,000 pearls to my Swiss account if you implement the suggestion :)

The part about practice and improve your game forgets a very basic premise of the game. The variability inherent in Rovio’s whims.

I am about 600 FP and average 50000  in CvC best score. However, when you play the exact same level 5 or 6 times, the scores should be clustered around the same value. That is not happening. Not with me, not with my…[Read more]

I’m not a 24/7 player, more like DC, ME, and Clan events and Arena 1 streak a week in Vanilla league :). I had 40k feathers in 2 days thanks to a nice 12,500 feather chest and winning several clan events. I should have Stella when we win tomorrow’s CvC.

Having said that, it’s an exercise in futility.

I’m not so sure it’s server lag. If I check my league buddies on Sunday after 1 day of play we’re all supposedly in Diamond League and Bob from Accounting is in Legendary, that could make sense (Bob got promoted to Legendary on Saturday).

But this happens on Fridays too, so it’s unlikely that replication is behind by days.

Such things are likely…[Read more]

In CvC we haven’t encountered a cheater in maybe 6 or 7 clan battles… But we had them on 6 of 6 prior to that.

I’d say – knock on wood – Chuck? – it’s SLOWLY getting better.

I’ve had decent success (i.e. level 15 with 1 pig, 20 with 2) following a similar strategy. 1st pick random, 2nd pick random, then 3, 4, etc if you didn’t hit a pig, pick the card the pig was.

Problems: Not sure this is reset after hat floors (5, 10, 15…). It usually works. Also, as @mbittenbende indicated,  it’s not unusual to hit 3 in a row a…[Read more]

Machine learning is a lot easier than you think. A LOT. as it’s done on the server side.

A few patterns have been identified, and lets not forget the Hat Event Leniency… during early days of such events you can make it to 20-25 without anything more than a pig or two. Consistently.

A common occurence at that time is a pig storm, which is…[Read more]

I collected ToF data from November 2017 to February 2018 and it shows significant and often consistent variations…

– odds of advancing are better in Hat event weeks

– overall odds of hitting pig @ level 2 not consistent with expected (0.25). Generally higher

– another poster here went to 90 (at the time) and reported 40% odds of pig before 5,…[Read more]

The issue is not difficulty per se – I can understand level 1200 being harder than level 120. But DC has always been rather simple, and with meager payoff. All of a sudden it became like the MCAT most days.

What you describe is great in a console game with loyal followers (say, Halo). But AB is a phone game for the masses, not a console game for…[Read more]