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My experience was much the same as yours, with a high frustration level. But then I found a combination of banner/birds/hats/equipment that worked “most” of the time and it was better. Then, using that combination I found that as I rose higher it didn’t work so well anymore so I had to shift tactics and banner/birds/hats/equipment. Sometimes, it is as simple as getting the GPM to cough up a set item that completes something useful (for me, in the first Arena league, it was when I completed the Frost Banner/Top and could use Matilda with the Nightmare set).
In my opinion the coin toss is biased just a little, and there is definitely something screwy about how opponents are assigned in that the pool of opponents doesn’t change (I am tired of fighting TokyoNASCAR 10-15 times per day) and you are far more likely to meet stronger teams than weaker or evenly matched teams. But, as has been pointed out above, this is how separation is created in the scores, and you would be as frustrated if there were 13 people in your league fighting for 3rd place, all with scores in the 150,000 +/- 500 range on day 6, with one or two people who had 200,000+ (because they had 20 hrs per day available for grinding), as you are now where it seems absolutely impossible to advance.
It’s just a stupid game, and there really isn’t much skill involved (aside from recognizing strengths and weaknesses of different combinations of birds/banners). The best you can hope for is nobody laughs at you if they see you playing it.