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It is going to be a looooooooooooooong week. I just made a run (level 382) with 6.30 promotion and it took like a Challenge run forever – or something like 15 stages.
And this was with Nautica who is fast. On the positive side she almost survived. Based on this my guesstimate is that she will survive a level 500 run when I have promoted bonus squad TFs and thus a proper promotion, like 1400% (which is about 2 times 630%; the point goal for level 382 is 1.86M and my best guess for level 500 is 3.17M which is less than 2 times 1.86M).
I also have a rough estimate for the stages needed to complete a run. The formula is point_goal_for_level / promotion / 200 (the promotion is without %–sign), e.g. 3,170,000/630/200=26 (when rounded up) or 3,170,000/1,400/200=12.