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Brief update on my research so far, plans for future research, and current mastery levels. There’s also a question for the two of you in the planning section:
– In 78 dojo visits, I’m averaging 5.68 Snoutling offers per visit. Initial offers are 82.9% Snoutlings, and replacement offers are 56.2% Snoutlings.
– I’m not terribly far away from maxing out Paladin, Stone Guard, Lightning Bird, Thunrderbird, Witch, Rogues, and Skulkers. I’m then going to continue collecting the same data as above, and will also start collecting data on which birds are getting the Snoutling offers, to see if/how the number of maxed out classes for each bird affects the probabilities. I’ll have three birds with two maxed classes, Matilda with one, and Bomb with none, and it will be that way for a long time. (I’m going to be careful to not grind any other classes up to 80 for as long as can, both to maximize future event rewards, and to maximize my data sample size.)
Hopefully I’ll have a large enough sample when I’m done to show whether or not there are any differences between which birds/classes get Snoutling offers after some have been maxed out already. As previously discussed, @burbman’s theory has been that each maxed class diminishes the overall chances of Snoutling offers proprtionally. My theory is that it doesn’t diminish the chance of Snouts being offered, and that the remaining classes should continue to get offers on an even basis, so I’ll get relatively more offers for Bomb than for all other birds, and more for Matty then Red/Chuck/Blues. Or, maybe the data will instead show that once “Snout” is determined, it’s then evenly distributed by bird, such that I’ll get more offers for each of Red/Chuck/Blues remaining classes than for Matty’s and Bomb’s, but that the offers per bird will add up toughly evenly.
Regardless of the outcome in terms of whose theory was right or whatever, I’m just looking forward to knowing how it actually works. Hopefully I’ll have enough data to actually answer that question!
– My question for you two guys (and anyone else who wants to chime in, for that matter): Should I max out all of one birds’ classes sooner rather than later, to see how it affects things? Obviously LC offers for that bird won’t be an option anymore, so it could theoretically increase the Snoutling offer ratio. I’m leaning towards doing this, actually.
– Current mastery ranks:
Red: 72/71/71/71/76/76
Chuck: 72/76/72/72/78/72
Matilda: 71/71/72/71/71/78
Bomb: 71/71/71/72/71/72
Blues: 72/78/72/72/76/72
All 71s are very close to 72, except Avenger for some reason. Wizard is pretty close to 73 as well.