Reply To: Coin Toss: Not fair?

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MVNLA2
@mvnla2

@jamairoqui @kerravon @zackvoyager — Actually, I do agree with KerrAvon, in that even at 1000 tosses the range of the 95% interval is quite large. We saw this when tracking statistics for the Dojo offerings. I picked 100 tosses, because I thought you might get some idea with that number. Not surprisingly 40 to 60 percent is a larger range than I expected.
I too have started tracking coin tosses, and so far, even with a small number (~30), it is very close to 50/50.
The spreadsheet I’ve started has the following columns:
League / Date / Position in league / Ranked Battles You win / Ranked Battles Opponents Win / Banner Strength / Bird Rank / Unranked Battles you win / Unranked Battles Won by Opponents
I separated tosses from ranked and unranked battles in case they turn out to be different. I am tracking banner health and rank of birds to see if there is any correlation with position in league.

@Jamairoqui
— What league are you currently in (wood or stone)? I am still in wood, but should reach stone at the end of the week.

@KillerKea
— As I said I’m still in wood, but all the data I’ve collected so far was taken while I was #2 in my league. The opponents banners have ranged from 3342(!) to 11200 (mine is normally 11139, and my birds are all rank 10). The opponents themselves have ranged from one bird at rank 10 or 3 birds at ranks 2,2,1 to 3 at rank 10. Haven’t calculated an average yet.