Reply To: Let's find out Golden Pig Chances at Rainbow Riot

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dr_ishmael
@dr_ishmael

@killerkea Sweet! Stats from that video (ignoring full Rainbow Bars):


       3 LC   3 LC   20 LC  20 LC
Stars  Count  Freq   Count  Freq
-----  -----  -----  -----  -----
    0     17  34.7%
    1     21  42.9%
    2      7  14.3%     16  37.2%
    3      3   6.1%     22  51.2%
    S      1   2.0%      5  11.6%

Total     50            43

There are 2 possible interpretations of this data:

  1. DarkHunterRPG was unlucky on his cheap rolls, since 2% is significantly lower than the 5-6% indicated by all of the recent data.
  2. Rovio has increased the drop rate of set items at some point between August 2014 and now.

Either way, we can’t really put much confidence in the 11.6% number. Still, I’m pretty sure we can conclude that the expensive roll drop rate is nowhere near high enough to keep it on par with cheap rolls.

It’s too bad he never followed through on repeating that video after major updates, would have been really nice to have a similar number of data points as I have for both RR and non-RR cheap rolls.

Also interesting – expensive rolls are guaranteed to give at least a 2* item. Not like a whole lot of people care about that, though.