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@kerravon, Thanks for providing me with the correct math! I came to the correct results with the 0 and 3, but was struggling with the 1 and 2 odds. Your explanation is excellent and this is exactly what I was looking for.
Everything else after accepting the average amount of offerings is just a matter of an infinite Excel calculation (every offer has a 66% chance to re-occur to infinity) and it ends up at a nice 6.
Even if the 75LC and 15LC offers are divided over multiple chests, it really doesn’t matter that much. The numbers are really straight forward and probably fit into a 1/9 75LC, 2/9 15LC and 6/9 Snouts comparison or something simple like that.
You’ve just confirmed that we cracked the math behind the dojo.
@mvnla2, this would be our conclusion I guess. I don’t think there’s much more to work out here.
@sutekh137, thanks. It’s a fun one to crack, but it helps that we had the data to reverse engineer this thing.