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This is purely anecdotal, but it did seem to me that I would always get the same “average” number of snoutling (bronze chest) offers on my trips to the Dojo, even when I was down to only a few remaining classes to add mastery to. So, yes, this meant the same class would come up many times, especially as I had fewer and fewer classes to advance.
This culminated in what I think was a bug when at the Dojo I completed mastery on one of two remaining classes and then the last class kept showing up 30-40 times in a row in the same slot (obviously) until I was able to master that one too.
Not sure if that has anything to do with what you are analyzing, but what you state above sounds reasonable to me and my experience.
Yeah, Events are not that great of a means of getting mastery compared to simply farming CPC. Heck, in the time between Events (the one in December and the recent “Year of the Goat” one) I got all of my classes to level 10. Took about 5-6 weeks of auto-farming CPC. I highly recommend it, and it works well for gaining experience as well (if they ever raise max level again). You’ll end up with level 10 birds and around 40000-50000 in snoutlings.
Since then, I’ve switched the farming to SRC and now have…let me check…about 140,000 snoutlings. That’s because SRC is quite a bit better for cash, and I am obviously not spending any snoutlings at the Dojo…
Thanks,
sutekh137