Reply To: Mastery Points

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@mvnla2, not sure what I have in my head, but it seems to be logical to me. I think the mechanics of this is really straight forward.

I’ll start with the basics. There’s three things that come up in the dojo. A 75LC 1000 for all offer, a 15LC 500 one bird offer and a 100Snout one class offer. Let’s visualise these options as closed chests. A golden chest (75LC offering), a silver chest (15 LC offering) and a bronze chest (snoutling offering). The dojo doesn’t care about what’s inside the chests, it just randomly shows you a combination of chests with a minimum of one bronze chest.

Now we come to the second part. Whatever is inside the chests (which bird or class) is determined by a secondary random pick. At least that is what the statistics show so far.

Let’s take an example. On average you will get 6 snoutling offerings per visit.
Your first classes reach level 10, so if the dojo takes all classes into account, this average must go down, since there are fewer classes to offer.

Our data does not support this at all. Therefore the dojo doesn’t look at how many classes are left to offer. It just looks at the 3 chests it has to offer (75LC, 500LC and 100 Snoutlings). The contents of the chests is irrelevant for the amount of offerings.

Now, onto the next bit. I think that the odds of getting a snoutling offering again after taking one is pretty straight forward, but calculating odds has always been my weak spot. This is where things get fuzzy for me. It does feel pretty straight forward in my head though but I simply cannot explain it. I just tried and typed theories and explanations here over and over again, but I get stuck each time.

I’d like someone else to do the math on this instead.