Reply To: Golden Pig Machine

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MVNLA2
@mvnla2

Another update on “statistics” of the Golden Pig machine. All items obtained either from rolls on friends machines, or from watching ads. It’s a very slow process; however the numbers are settling down.

Conclusions:
* Unless there are a lot more non-set items available from the GP machine than I have seen so far, the frequency of getting a set item is less than half what it would be for equal probability.
* The strength of the non-set GP items is not keeping up with the increase in the maximum level of the birds.
* Even a 3* GP item is unlikely to have higher strength than your most powerful set item, even if the set item is not at the level of your birds.
* The most likely GP item has 2 stars and is pretty worthless if you are at level 41.

68 items total

#	Item	   %	Average
6	set items  9    96   One was guaranteed from full GP bar	
12	three*	   18  -40	
23	two*	   34  -51	
11	one*	   16  -49
16	zero *	   23  -70	

The average is the average change in strength or health compared to the strongest set item I had at the time.
I get one roll on a friends machine every 24 hours, and 1 roll from watching an ad every 48 hours. Since I don’t log in to collect at exactly the right time, these times have slipped by more than a day over the course of a month.
Of 6 set items 5 were better than I currently had, and two of those 5 completed a set. One of the 6 was obtained when my GP bar was full, and thus was guaranteed to be a set item.
If the one guaranteed set item is removed from the calculation, the frequency of set items drops to 7.5%
3 of the 6 set items were obtained from watching an ad.
Of 62 non-set items only 2 (3*) items were better than the best set item I had at the time.
Thirty-nine of the 63 non-set items were different.