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@burbman
My math is coming in at exactly the same return over time for all three battle types, assuming a 1/8 chance of each potential wheel spin for each battle, and the use of any potions received to speed up the time to play the next battle. I guess the only other variable to consider when choosing would be the need for use of consumables on the harder battles, and the corresponding Mastery/Snoutlings/Experience earned in each battle type.