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I regularly get 2 – 3 pigs before level 5 if I bother to play that high, because I’ll always quit if I get one on level 2 (like @abginebird above) …which is 4 times per week at the least.
And if I don’t get one on level 2 I’ll most definitely get one on level 4 and it’s a sure bet that if I don’t quit at level 6, I’ll get another one there.
Never even played past level 10. What’s the point? As I mentioned earlier in the thread, my findings on an experiment with playing a reloaded backup several times showed that I ALWAYS GOT THE SAME CARD OUTCOME NO MATTER WHICH CARD I CHOSE. This is why I don’t believe there is any probability in going through the T0F.
I think there’s a predetermined game and THAT’S where the probability is. For example, Rovio has created “X” versions of TOF: V#1 always gives you pigs on level 2, 3, 7, 9 etc. V#2 always gives you pigs on level 4, 6, 7, 10 etc. There is a rare game where they allow you to get higher without hitting too many pigs… but that is like the ‘golden ticket’ special. It’s rare and not many people will get it.
Your probabilities on getting the V#1, V#2, etc are what you are measuring.