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@hubert-lo
My general rules are:
1. Pig before level 5, just quit. If I have some gains in gems, carry on.
2. If 2nd pig shows up before 10, consider eat the loss and move on. Unless I have some gems in prize already.
3. If I see the 3rd pig after that. Seriously consider cutting my losses and claim the prizes.
4. If I have a sizable amount of gold banked AND my gains are huge already, I may pay the 200 gems once but only once.