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You want odds? Here’s your odds. The pigs *are* random — I’ve tracked it. One in four, +/- a standard deviation or two.
For those that haven’t played to the higher levels, know that the rewards get better per floor at about the 25th floor, and about the 45th floor. By then, the gems card is worth up to 610 gems, and the feathers card can be up to 2400 feathers. The gems never get high enough to make it worthwhile, but SOMETIMES you can find yourself “on the plus side in gems” around the 20th floor…. having spent 170 gems on a lucky streak where you’ve hit only three pigs, and lots of gems.
The odds of reaching the 90th floor? You have to get past 18 groups of four (not counting the hats-only floors). Thus, if you expect to get to level 90, you should expect to hit 18 pigs on the way, plus or minus 2-3 pigs.
The progression of the cost of pigs stops at 3200 gems. All after that are 3200 gems as well. The running totals, then for subsequent pigs hit are:
1st – 20
2nd – 70
3rd – 170
4th – 370
5th – 770
6th – 1570
7th – 3170
8th – 6370
9th – 9570
10th – 12770
11th – 15970
12th – 19170
13th – 22370
14th – 25570
15th – 28770
16th – 31970
17th – 35170
18th – 38370
19th – 41570
20th – 44770
21st – 47970
Thus, to guarantee a 91% chance of reaching level 90, you need to be able to afford to hit 21 pigs. That would cost 47,970 gems. If you are at the other end of the bell curve, and make it hitting only 15 pigs, you can escape spending only 28,770 gems. Only one game in a hundred or so will cost less than that to reach the top, statistically speaking.
I can’t do it — I have an iOS 10.x device that is not jailbroken, so I can’t cheat, but if you Google for “unlimited gems AB2”, you’ll find that those that are on Android, or older (iOS 8) jailbroken Apple devices have exploits available that can give them literally 2 billion gems, and THOSE people can climb the tower to the top, every few hours.
The same hacks can be used to have the tower give a few hundred thousand feathers as a reward (leaving every bird maxed out the moment a new card is introduced), or oodles of spells. Said hacks don’t work with pearls, because unlike gems and feathers (which are stored locally on your device and can thus be hacked), your pearl count is stored on the Rovio servers.
Like I said, though, we iPhone users have to muddle through without access to such hacks. I’m grinding through 9,000 pearls now, and have only 26,000 gems saved up (mainly because I buy the “letter” every month, which are the cheapest gems there are, only $10 for 3000 gems if you come back every day).
So, there you go. That’s the odds, and they aren’t very good, nor cheap.
Jester