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I don’t think that the law of probability applies to the TOF. The law of algorithm prevails. The game can insert a pig at any point irrespective of what probability might suggest what will happen next. That’s why I got 3 pigs in a row on the 1st card. What’s the probability of that? One might develop a probability table for the TOF but it can’t predict the probability of when the pig will appear because the pigorithm is there to separate you from your gems. It’s like a roulette wheel that’s fixed to favor the house. It’s not like Blackjack where you can count cards and beat the house. The TOF will always favor the house. Rovio got the Fortune part of this feature right. It will cost you a Fortune to get to the top.