Reply To: How to consistently win the tower

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cognitive
@cognitive

The biggest downers in ToF:

1. pig immediately after first round. OK, it’s got a probability of .75 (no pig in first round) * 0.25 (pig in second round) so it should be .1875, or one in five. In my case it’s pretty consistent one in two. For extra bonus, pig in third round, which is .75 * .75 * .25 = .14 or 14%. Pretty common.

2. This is more sinister. You make it thru the first pig and 20 gems, have accumulated the dregs of rewards (a duck, whoa) and maybe 50 gems, at level 10-15. Then you hit a pig for 100. Thinking you have earned enough you cough up 100 more, pick one from three, then next round, another pig.

Interestingly, the probability of going the first six rounds without hitting a pig is .18, about the same as that of hitting a pig in the second round (per #1 above). Is anyone here encountering those two outcomes at the same rate?

(Assumption: you can hit a pig in the first round. I think that’s not the case but I put it as such for consistency).