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@kennymcc
My board isn’t too competitive either, even though I started only 1 hour into the new week. I’m mildly surprised.
So it is confirmed – you need the Cheater set to get a fair coin toss. It seems you lose more coin tosses when you have the Cheater set, however… My win-loss ratio isn’t quite as bad as that (11-16 for me versus 9-24 for you).
The reason that the game gives so many Red-Chuck-Matilda opponents is because there are so many computer-generated opponents right now. The servers may need some new opponent data first.
I got an OP team myself, playing with a ~1300 power team and suddenly faced a 1600-power team.
If you lose a battle, however, you will ALWAYS get a much weaker opponent next. It has never been different and it is still the case. If you win a battle, you will either get equally strong or even stronger opponents.