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@graugeist
FWIW, for my 470x x10 crafts, I got:
90x 1-star (19%)
222x 2-star (47%)
158x 3-xtar (34%)
For me, Golden Anvil averages 63 items out per 100 items in, marginally better than a 2-star roll.
That leaves me with over 5,000 top-tier items and 48 shards for future enchantment of set items.