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The coin flip doesn’t seem fishy on my game, it can happen I lose it at the first and second match, and it can also happen I win it at the fourth or fifth match. But yeah, the enemies do get stronger the more consecutive battles you do – if there’s a player that’s too strong or tanky or something it often helps me to either battle Piggy McCool quickly, or close and restart the app – that causes me to get a new opponent with different birds.
The first 2-3 matches are against enemies a bit weaker than yourself. The matches afterwards put you against enemies equally strong or stronger than yourself.
The coin flip can really decide a match. Most of the time, when I win the flip I win the match. And when I lose the flip I usually lose the match too.