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@sutekh137
Nice summary.
But the chance to spin for any given spot on the wheel is actually 3/8ths, not 1/8.
Or, more specifically (number of stars)/8.
If you are three-starring everything, you should have a 3/8ths chance to catch any specific slot on the wheel, or 37.5%.
On any given 5-battle usage (full stamina), you should expect to see 1 or 2 hits of the wheel (and yeah, I once went two full-stamina stretches — 30 stamina spent on 10 battles — with nothing to show for it).
Thanks,
sutekh137
PS. I previously stated I had been able to predict things like cauldron spins, but I don’t know what I was on about — the cauldron and anvil use dice rolls, not wheel spins…